Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 7.145341e-05 0.000086 0.000102 0.000121 0.000141 0.000163 0.000187
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.305219e-05 0.000073 0.000095 0.000123 0.000155 0.000191 0.000234
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.070751e-05 0.000061 0.000086 0.000118 0.000157 0.000201 0.000256
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.383660e-05 0.000056 0.000084 0.000122 0.000168 0.000224 0.000293
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.764890e-05 0.000050 0.000080 0.000121 0.000173 0.000237 0.000317
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.138178e-05 0.000043 0.000074 0.000117 0.000175 0.000245 0.000336
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.727521e-05 0.000038 0.000070 0.000116 0.000178 0.000256 0.000357
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.392659e-05 0.000034 0.000067 0.000115 0.000182 0.000267 0.000380
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.183108e-05 0.000032 0.000065 0.000117 0.000189 0.000282 0.000406
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.393397e-06 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000192 0.000292 0.000426
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.004272e-06 0.000025 0.000057 0.000112 0.000191 0.000296 0.000439
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.962379e-06 0.000024 0.000057 0.000114 0.000198 0.000311 0.000467
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.911154e-06 0.000019 0.000052 0.000109 0.000196 0.000314 0.000479
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.959344e-06 0.000018 0.000050 0.000110 0.000202 0.000330 0.000509
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.872199e-06 0.000015 0.000046 0.000106 0.000202 0.000335 0.000524
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.450742e-06 0.000014 0.000046 0.000109 0.000211 0.000354 0.000558
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.575424e-07 0.000012 0.000044 0.000109 0.000214 0.000365 0.000582
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.919618e-07 0.000010 0.000041 0.000105 0.000213 0.000369 0.000596
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.581932e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000104 0.000216 0.000379 0.000618
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.169068e-07 0.000008 0.000037 0.000103 0.000218 0.000389 0.000639
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.830586e-08 0.000007 0.000037 0.000105 0.000225 0.000404 0.000669
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.268990e-08 0.000006 0.000035 0.000103 0.000227 0.000413 0.000689
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.884577e-11 0.000005 0.000032 0.000100 0.000225 0.000415 0.000701